Caio
Henrique
LBBrazil · AS Monaco
Player dossierLigue 1
CaioHenrique
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- AS Monaco
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Henrique at €12M. Model A, which never saw Henrique during training, estimates €8.1M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 67
- Minutes
- 4,808
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 8
- Started
- 53/67
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Henrique…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
26% this player0% defender median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €20M
- May 2022
- Model target
- €12M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €12M, AS Monaco. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-17 | €300k | Atlético Madrileño |
| 2018-01-01 | €300k | Atlético Madrileño |
| 2018-05-23 | €800k | Paraná Clube |
| 2019-02-18 | €1.3M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2019-11-27 | €1.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.2M | Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense |
| 2020-10-12 | €5M | AS Monaco |
| 2021-01-07 | €8M | AS Monaco |
| 2021-04-09 | €10M | AS Monaco |
| 2021-06-04 | €12M | AS Monaco |
| 2021-10-08 | €16M | AS Monaco |
| 2021-12-16 | €18M | AS Monaco |
| 2022-05-30 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2022-11-02 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-06-27 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-12-18 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-06-03 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-12-10 | €18M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-03-24 | €15M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-06-03 | €15M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-12-15 | €15M | AS Monaco |
| 2026-06-01 | €12M | AS Monaco |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.387
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Henrique appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€12M
- SzymanskiAMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- CamaraCMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- ÉdouardCFRC Lens · Ligue 1€12M
- AkéCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- StonesCBManchester City · defenders€12M
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · defenders€12M
- BakuRBRB Leipzig · defenders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).