FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Abdoulaye

Sissako

DMFrance · Sint-Truidense VV

№ 418661Established €5.4M −1.00

Player dossierPro League

AbdoulayeSissako

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sint-Truidense VV
League
Pro League
Nationality
France
Age
28
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sissako at €2M. Model A, which never saw Sissako during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 63% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.72. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.00A €5.4M▼ −1.18B €6.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
4,931
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
57/64
Min / app
77
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sissako…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €5.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Abdoulaye Sissako's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 85th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 30th45thGoals40thAssists85thMinutes85thStarts96thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,350 this player1,541 midfielder median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Mar 2017
Peak
€2M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
4 club changes
Jun 2026€2MSint-Truidense VVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Sint-Truidense VV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-03-20€300kAJ Auxerre
2017-06-15€300kAJ Auxerre
2018-05-16€300kAJ Auxerre
2019-01-08€700kLB Châteauroux
2019-06-27€800kLB Châteauroux
2019-12-13€1.3MZulte Waregem
2020-03-30€1.8MZulte Waregem
2020-04-08€1.6MZulte Waregem
2020-10-16€1.5MZulte Waregem
2021-06-07€1.2MZulte Waregem
2022-01-06€1MZulte Waregem
2022-04-12€850kZulte Waregem
2022-11-04€750kZulte Waregem
2023-06-09€650kZulte Waregem
2023-12-19€600kKV Kortrijk
2024-06-04€700kKV Kortrijk
2024-12-11€700kKV Kortrijk
2025-06-12€700kKV Kortrijk
2025-12-10€900kSint-Truidense VV
2026-03-13€1.5MSint-Truidense VV
2026-06-04€2MSint-Truidense VV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.000

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 50% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sissako appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).