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Portrait of Jack Harrison

Jack

Harrison

LWEngland · ACF Fiorentina

№ 417346Established €3.4M +0.66

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

JackHarrison

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
ACF Fiorentina
League
Serie A
Nationality
England
Age
29
Height
175 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Harrison at €6.5M. Model A, which never saw Harrison during training, estimates €3.4M: the market value is 93% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.93. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.66A €3.4M▲ +0.88B €2.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
3,664
Goals
2
Assists
4
Started
38/66
Min / app
56
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Harrison…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6.5MModel A €3.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jack Harrison's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 8th, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 76th, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 28th8thGoals31stAssists76thMinutes48thStarts58thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,664 this player2,242 attacker median76th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Mar 2016
Peak
€28M
Sept 2022
Model target
€6.5M
May 2026
Valuations
28
5 club changes
May 2026€6.5MACF FiorentinaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6.5M, ACF Fiorentina. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-03-01€250kNew York City FC
2016-05-30€150kNew York City FC
2016-12-15€600kNew York City FC
2017-05-24€850kNew York City FC
2017-12-05€1.8MNew York City FC
2018-02-27€3.5MMiddlesbrough FC
2018-09-24€3.5MLeeds United
2019-06-13€4MLeeds United
2020-02-27€6.5MLeeds United
2020-04-08€5.2MLeeds United
2020-10-13€7MLeeds United
2020-12-17€9MLeeds United
2021-03-18€15MLeeds United
2021-06-08€15MLeeds United
2021-12-23€15MLeeds United
2022-06-15€18MLeeds United
2022-09-15€28MLeeds United
2022-11-03€25MLeeds United
2023-03-16€22MLeeds United
2023-06-20€22MLeeds United
2023-12-19€22MEverton FC
2024-05-27€18MEverton FC
2024-12-16€16MEverton FC
2025-05-30€14MEverton FC
2025-10-17€12MLeeds United
2025-12-09€10MLeeds United
2026-03-24€8MACF Fiorentina
2026-05-29€6.5MACF Fiorentina

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.660

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 54% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Harrison appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).