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Gabriel

Strefezza

RWBrazil · Parma Calcio 1913

№ 457673Established €5.2M +0.22

Player dossierSerie A

GabrielStrefezza

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Parma Calcio 1913
League
Serie A
Nationality
Brazil
Age
29
Height
168 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Strefezza at €6.5M. Model A, which never saw Strefezza during training, estimates €5.2M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.22A €5.2M▲ +0.21B €5.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
72
Minutes
4,573
Goals
9
Assists
12
Started
55/72
Min / app
64
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Strefezza…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6.5MModel A €5.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Gabriel Strefezza's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 30th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 59th30thGoals80thAssists87thMinutes78thStarts68thRecent59thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,573 this player2,242 attacker median87th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2016
Peak
€10M
Mar 2023
Model target
€6.5M
May 2026
Valuations
26
8 club changes
May 2026€6.5MParma Calcio 1913Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6.5M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-10-31€25kSPAL Primavera
2017-05-18€75kSPAL 2013
2017-12-20€100kSS Juve Stabia
2018-06-21€250kSS Juve Stabia
2019-01-17€300kUS Cremonese
2019-06-05€300kUS Cremonese
2019-10-08€700kSPAL
2019-12-12€1.5MSPAL
2020-03-03€2.5MSPAL
2020-04-08€2MSPAL
2020-08-25€3MSPAL
2021-02-22€3.2MSPAL
2021-06-24€3.2MSPAL
2021-12-29€5MUS Lecce
2022-06-06€6.5MUS Lecce
2022-11-11€8.5MUS Lecce
2023-03-21€10MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€10MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€8MUS Lecce
2024-03-25€6MComo 1907
2024-06-03€6MComo 1907
2024-12-18€6MComo 1907
2025-06-17€6MComo 1907
2025-09-23€7MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-12-12€7MOlympiacos Piraeus
2026-05-29€6.5MParma Calcio 1913

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.224

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 54% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Strefezza appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).