FairValue

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Thomas

Henry

CFFrance · Standard Liège

№ 412513Emerging €636k −0.24

Player dossierPro League

ThomasHenry

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Standard Liège
League
Pro League
Nationality
France
Age
31
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Henry at €500k. Model A, which never saw Henry during training, estimates €636k: the market value is 21% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €414k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €636k▲ +0.19B €414k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
1,361
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
17/21
Min / app
65
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Henry…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €636k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Thomas Henry's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 36th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 28th36thGoals44thAssists28thMinutes84thStarts53rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

81% this player59% attacker median84th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2016
Peak
€5M
Jun 2021
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
7 club changes
Jun 2026€500kStandard LiègeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Standard Liège. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-02-04€50kFC Nantes B
2017-02-20€150kFC Chambly Oise
2018-09-14€400kAFC Tubize
2019-01-18€700kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2019-06-10€900kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2020-03-30€1.2MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2020-04-08€950kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2020-10-16€1.3MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2021-01-04€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2021-03-17€3.5MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2021-06-07€5MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2021-12-28€5MVenezia FC
2022-06-07€5MVenezia FC
2022-11-11€4.5MHellas Verona
2023-03-21€4MHellas Verona
2023-06-15€4MHellas Verona
2023-12-20€3.5MHellas Verona
2024-06-05€2MHellas Verona
2024-12-23€1.8MPalermo FC
2025-06-02€1MPalermo FC
2025-12-10€1MStandard Liège
2026-03-13€800kStandard Liège
2026-06-04€500kStandard Liège

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.241

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 9% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Henry appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).