FairValue

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Portrait of Jules Koundé

Jules

Koundé

RBFrance · FC Barcelona

№ 411975World Class €63.8M −0.06

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

JulesKoundé

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Barcelona
League
LaLiga
Nationality
France
Age
27
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Koundé at €60M. Model A, which never saw Koundé during training, estimates €63.8M: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €63M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.06A €63.8M▼ −0.05B €63M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
100
Minutes
7,952
Goals
7
Assists
12
Started
89/100
Min / app
80
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Koundé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €60M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €60MModel A €63.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jules Koundé's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 100th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 90th80thGoals86thAssists100thMinutes66thStarts96thRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

7,952 this player2,860 defender median100th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jan 2018
Peak
€65M
Jun 2025
Model target
€60M
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
2 club changes
Jun 2026€60MFC BarcelonaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €60M, FC Barcelona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-24€1MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-03-20€4MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-06-04€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-10-24€9MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-12-17€9MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-03-07€12MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-06-03€15MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-09-10€25MSevilla FC
2019-12-20€25MSevilla FC
2020-04-08€22.5MSevilla FC
2020-07-23€30MSevilla FC
2020-10-08€40MSevilla FC
2021-01-05€50MSevilla FC
2021-03-19€60MSevilla FC
2021-06-01€60MSevilla FC
2021-12-30€60MSevilla FC
2022-06-03€60MSevilla FC
2022-11-07€60MFC Barcelona
2023-06-13€60MFC Barcelona
2023-12-22€60MFC Barcelona
2024-03-21€50MFC Barcelona
2024-06-07€45MFC Barcelona
2024-10-11€55MFC Barcelona
2024-12-27€60MFC Barcelona
2025-06-09€65MFC Barcelona
2025-12-12€65MFC Barcelona
2026-06-05€60MFC Barcelona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.061

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 97% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€60MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 99% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€60MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Koundé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).