FairValue

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Kristijan

Trapanovski

LWNorth Macedonia · Dundee United FC

№ 404358Emerging €435k +0.32

Player dossierPremiership

KristijanTrapanovski

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Dundee United FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
North Macedonia
Age
26
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Trapanovski at €600k. Model A, which never saw Trapanovski during training, estimates €435k: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €435k▼ −0.87B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
1,951
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
22/47
Min / app
42
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Trapanovski…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €435k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kristijan Trapanovski's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 21st, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 30th, Minutes, last 365 days 29th, European club minutes 65th21stGoals64thAssists43rdMinutes30thStarts29thRecent65thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

6% this player0% attacker median65th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2017
Peak
€600k
Dec 2025
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
17
5 club changes
May 2026€600kDundee United FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Dundee United FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-08-11€100kSK Slavia Prague B
2018-06-28€100k1.FC Tatran Presov
2018-12-30€125kFK Viktoria Zizkov
2020-12-19€150kAP Brera
2021-05-18€150kFC Shkupi
2021-12-16€175kFC Shkupi
2022-05-17€200kFC Shkupi
2022-12-15€300kFC Shkupi
2023-05-19€250kFC Shkupi
2023-12-14€250kFC Shkupi
2024-05-22€400kFC Shkupi
2024-10-02€500kDundee United FC
2024-12-03€500kDundee United FC
2025-06-17€500kDundee United FC
2025-10-08€450kDundee United FC
2025-12-10€600kDundee United FC
2026-05-20€600kDundee United FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.322

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 63% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Trapanovski appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).