FairValue

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Victor

Jensen

AMDenmark · FC Utrecht

№ 400548Established €2.9M −0.14

Player dossierEredivisie

VictorJensen

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Utrecht
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Denmark
Age
26
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jensen at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Jensen during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 13% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.14A €2.9M▼ −0.68B €4.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,294
Goals
15
Assists
3
Started
25/48
Min / app
48
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jensen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Victor Jensen's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 100th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 24th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 83rd100thGoals59thAssists43rdMinutes24thStarts35thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.59 this player0.08 midfielder median100th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Mar 2018
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
19
5 club changes
May 2026€2.5MFC UtrechtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, FC Utrecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-03-01€250kAjax Amsterdam U19
2019-01-21€250kAjax Amsterdam U21
2019-07-03€250kAjax Amsterdam U21
2020-01-17€400kAjax Amsterdam U21
2020-04-08€350kAjax Amsterdam U21
2020-06-29€450kAjax Amsterdam U21
2020-10-24€525kAjax Amsterdam U21
2020-12-31€700kAjax Amsterdam U21
2021-06-04€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2021-10-12€800kAjax Amsterdam U21
2022-01-05€800kAjax Amsterdam U21
2022-12-09€1MRosenborg BK
2023-06-23€1MFC Utrecht
2023-12-15€1.5MFC Utrecht
2024-05-31€2MFC Utrecht
2024-12-17€2.3MFC Utrecht
2025-05-28€2MFC Utrecht
2025-12-02€2.5MFC Utrecht
2026-05-28€2.5MFC Utrecht

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.140

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 68% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jensen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).