Dani
Cárdenas
GKSpain · Rayo Vallecano
Player dossierLaLiga
DaniCárdenas
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Rayo Vallecano
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Cárdenas at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Cárdenas during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 11% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 1,650
- Started
- 18/18
- Min / app
- 92
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cárdenas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2016
- Peak
- €2M
- Mar 2023
- Model target
- €1.8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.8M, Rayo Vallecano. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-08-01 | €50k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2017-02-02 | €50k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2017-06-05 | €50k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2018-10-31 | €200k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2019-02-19 | €200k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2019-06-29 | €200k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2019-09-10 | €200k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2020-02-11 | €200k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2020-10-08 | €300k | Atlético Levante UD |
| 2021-01-05 | €600k | Levante UD |
| 2021-06-10 | €600k | Levante UD |
| 2021-10-13 | €700k | Levante UD |
| 2021-12-30 | €800k | Levante UD |
| 2022-03-21 | €1.5M | Levante UD |
| 2022-06-03 | €1.5M | Levante UD |
| 2022-12-29 | €1.5M | Levante UD |
| 2023-03-24 | €2M | Levante UD |
| 2023-06-14 | €2M | Levante UD |
| 2023-12-22 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2024-06-07 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2024-12-27 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2025-06-09 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2025-12-12 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2026-06-05 | €1.8M | Rayo Vallecano |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.117
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 58% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cárdenas appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LejeuneCBRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€1.8M
- RyanGKLevante UD · LaLiga€1.8M
- DendonckerDMReal Oviedo · LaLiga€1.8M
- GazzanigaGKGirona FC · LaLiga€1.8M
- TrappGKParis FC · goalkeepers€1.8M
- SemperGKPisa Sporting Club · goalkeepers€1.8M
- BayazıtGKKayserispor · goalkeepers€1.8M
- RavagliaGKBologna FC 1909 · goalkeepers€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).