FairValue

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Roman

Vantukh

LBUkraine · Zorya Lugansk

№ 396536Emerging €872k −0.22

Player dossierPremier Liha

RomanVantukh

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Zorya Lugansk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vantukh at €700k. Model A, which never saw Vantukh during training, estimates €872k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €872k▼ −1.68B €3.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
4,107
Goals
6
Assists
5
Started
47/51
Min / app
81
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vantukh…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €872k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Roman Vantukh's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 93rd, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 30th93rdGoals80thAssists71stMinutes76thStarts58thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.13 this player0.03 defender median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Mar 2019
Peak
€700k
Dec 2023
Model target
€700k
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
6 club changes
Jun 2026€700kZorya LuganskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €700k, Zorya Lugansk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-03-22€200kOlimpik Donetsk
2019-06-20€200kOlimpik Donetsk
2020-01-08€400kFC Oleksandriya
2020-04-08€350kFC Oleksandriya
2020-09-04€350kDynamo Kyiv
2021-01-14€400kFC Oleksandriya
2021-06-07€500kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€400kChornomorets Odesa
2022-05-18€400kSC Dnipro-1
2022-12-06€500kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€600kZorya Lugansk
2023-12-11€700kZorya Lugansk
2024-06-06€700kZorya Lugansk
2024-12-17€700kZorya Lugansk
2025-06-10€700kZorya Lugansk
2025-12-18€700kZorya Lugansk
2026-06-02€700kZorya Lugansk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.219

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 67% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 26% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vantukh appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).