FairValue

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Artem

Makarchuk

LBRussia · FC Sochi

№ 380761Emerging €492k +0.35

Player dossierPremier Liga

ArtemMakarchuk

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Sochi
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
30
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Makarchuk at €700k. Model A, which never saw Makarchuk during training, estimates €492k: the market value is 42% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €427k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €492k▲ +0.49B €427k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
1,263
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
16/21
Min / app
60
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Makarchuk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €492k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Artem Makarchuk's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 68th, Minutes, two years 17th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 36th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals68thAssists17thMinutes37thStarts36thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.07 this player0.04 defender median68th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Apr 2023
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
27
4 club changes
May 2026€700kFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-26€50kBaltika Kaliningrad
2016-01-10€200kBaltika Kaliningrad
2016-07-01€150kBaltika Kaliningrad
2016-12-28€150kBaltika Kaliningrad
2017-06-01€100kBaltika Kaliningrad
2018-06-06€100kLuch-Energia Vladivostok
2018-10-15€175kFakel Voronezh
2018-12-20€300kFakel Voronezh
2019-06-14€300kFakel Voronezh
2019-12-23€350kBaltika Kaliningrad
2020-04-08€300kBaltika Kaliningrad
2020-06-29€300kBaltika Kaliningrad
2020-12-29€350kBaltika Kaliningrad
2021-05-24€350kBaltika Kaliningrad
2021-12-07€450kBaltika Kaliningrad
2022-06-02€900kFC Sochi
2022-11-21€2MFC Sochi
2023-04-13€2.5MFC Sochi
2023-06-14€2.5MFC Sochi
2023-12-13€2.5MFC Sochi
2024-06-04€2.3MFC Sochi
2024-09-18€2MFC Sochi
2024-12-04€1.5MFC Sochi
2025-06-02€1.2MFC Sochi
2025-09-18€1MFC Sochi
2025-12-16€800kFC Sochi
2026-05-26€700kFC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.353

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 26% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Makarchuk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).