FairValue

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Hüseyin

Türkmen

CBTürkiye · Antalyaspor

№ 395862Emerging €785k −0.96

Player dossierSüper Lig

HüseyinTürkmen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Antalyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Türkmen at €300k. Model A, which never saw Türkmen during training, estimates €785k: the market value is 62% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €891k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.96A €785k▼ −1.09B €891k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,741
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
20/25
Min / app
70
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Türkmen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €785k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Hüseyin Türkmen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 42nd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists28thMinutes44thStarts42ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

80% this player83% defender median44th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2017
Peak
€3.5M
Jan 2020
Model target
€300k
May 2026
Valuations
31
2 club changes
May 2026€300kAntalyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Antalyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-11-22€50kTrabzonspor
2018-02-12€50kTrabzonspor
2018-05-29€50kTrabzonspor
2019-01-04€600kTrabzonspor
2019-03-27€1.3MTrabzonspor
2019-06-04€2MTrabzonspor
2019-10-04€3MTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€3.5MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€3.2MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€2.2MTrabzonspor
2020-12-23€1.9MTrabzonspor
2021-03-16€1.4MTrabzonspor
2021-05-21€1.4MTrabzonspor
2021-10-12€1MTrabzonspor
2022-01-04€900kTrabzonspor
2022-03-31€700kTrabzonspor
2022-06-01€600kTrabzonspor
2022-10-27€550kTrabzonspor
2023-03-14€500kTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€900kTrabzonspor
2023-09-27€700kTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€500kTrabzonspor
2024-03-15€350kTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€275kTrabzonspor
2024-10-04€200kTrabzonspor
2024-12-23€175kTrabzonspor
2025-03-20€150kTrabzonspor
2025-06-18€100kWithout Club
2025-12-17€200kAntalyaspor
2026-03-05€300kAntalyaspor
2026-05-21€300kAntalyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.962

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 12% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Türkmen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).