FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Batista

Mendy

DMFrance · Sevilla FC

№ 395234Established €6.2M +0.19

Player dossierLaLiga

BatistaMendy

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sevilla FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mendy at €7.5M. Model A, which never saw Mendy during training, estimates €6.2M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €6.2M▲ +0.14B €6.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
4,855
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
54/68
Min / app
71
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mendy…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7.5MModel A €6.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Batista Mendy's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 23rd, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 69th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 74th27thGoals23rdAssists85thMinutes69thStarts55thRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,855 this player2,607 midfielder median85th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2019
Peak
€10M
Oct 2024
Model target
€7.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€7.5MSevilla FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €7.5M, Sevilla FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-25€150kFC Nantes
2019-12-19€150kFC Nantes
2020-08-03€250kFC Nantes
2020-10-15€500kFC Nantes
2021-06-04€500kFC Nantes
2021-10-08€2MAngers SCO
2021-12-16€2MAngers SCO
2022-05-30€3MAngers SCO
2022-11-02€3MAngers SCO
2023-06-27€3MAngers SCO
2023-09-27€7MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€8MTrabzonspor
2024-03-15€9MTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€9.5MTrabzonspor
2024-10-04€10MTrabzonspor
2024-12-23€10MTrabzonspor
2025-03-20€10MTrabzonspor
2025-06-18€10MTrabzonspor
2025-12-12€10MSevilla FC
2026-06-05€7.5MSevilla FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.187

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 67% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€7.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mendy appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).