Lukas
Fadinger
CMAustria · Motherwell FC
Player dossierPremiership
LukasFadinger
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Motherwell FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Austria
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Fadinger at €350k. Model A, which never saw Fadinger during training, estimates €801k: the market value is 56% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €578k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 2,665
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 31/32
- Min / app
- 83
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fadinger…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
97% this player69% midfielder median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Jul 2018
- Peak
- €500k
- May 2024
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €350k, Motherwell FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-07-02 | €200k | SK Sturm Graz |
| 2018-12-19 | €200k | SK Sturm Graz |
| 2019-06-03 | €200k | SK Sturm Graz |
| 2019-12-03 | €300k | SV Lafnitz |
| 2020-07-31 | €250k | SK Sturm Graz |
| 2020-12-21 | €175k | TSV Hartberg |
| 2021-05-26 | €250k | SV Lafnitz |
| 2021-12-01 | €250k | SV Lafnitz |
| 2022-05-25 | €300k | SV Lafnitz |
| 2022-11-10 | €350k | TSV Hartberg |
| 2023-06-12 | €350k | TSV Hartberg |
| 2023-12-11 | €450k | SCR Altach |
| 2024-05-21 | €500k | SCR Altach |
| 2024-12-17 | €450k | SCR Altach |
| 2025-06-06 | €350k | SCR Altach |
| 2025-12-10 | €350k | Motherwell FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €350k | Motherwell FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.828
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 45% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Fadinger appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McCartCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · Premiership€350k
- NlunduluCFSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€350k
- Schjönning-LarsenLBKilmarnock FC · Premiership€350k
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€350k
- StaikosDMAE Larisa · midfielders€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · midfielders€350k
- LuísAMPanetolikos · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).