Michael
Schjönning-Larsen
LBEstonia · Kilmarnock FC
Player dossierPremiership
MichaelSchjönning-Larsen
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Kilmarnock FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Estonia
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Schjönning-Larsen at €350k. Model A, which never saw Schjönning-Larsen during training, estimates €396k: the market value is 12% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 20
- Minutes
- 1,558
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 18/20
- Min / app
- 78
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schjönning-Larsen…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
37% this player0% defender median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Feb 2020
- Peak
- €350k
- Aug 2025
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €350k, Kilmarnock FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-25 | €25k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2020-07-21 | €25k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2020-12-06 | €25k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2021-04-21 | €50k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2021-06-30 | €75k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2021-12-09 | €100k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2022-05-13 | €100k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2022-10-26 | €125k | FC Kuressaare |
| 2023-04-05 | €125k | FCI Levadia |
| 2023-07-10 | €150k | FCI Levadia |
| 2023-11-29 | €150k | FCI Levadia |
| 2024-05-15 | €200k | FCI Levadia |
| 2024-11-11 | €250k | FCI Levadia |
| 2025-04-29 | €300k | FCI Levadia |
| 2025-08-29 | €350k | FCI Levadia |
| 2025-11-14 | €350k | FCI Levadia |
| 2026-05-20 | €350k | Kilmarnock FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.124
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 45% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 12% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Schjönning-Larsen appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- McCartCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · Premiership€350k
- NlunduluCFSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€350k
- FadingerCMMotherwell FC · Premiership€350k
- GodeauCBSK Beveren · defenders€350k
- CroneRBFC Fredericia · defenders€350k
- SarrRBFC Metz · defenders€350k
- MalyshCBIngulets Petrove · defenders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).