FairValue

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Vladislav

Sarveli

CFRussia · Lokomotiv Moscow

№ 393864Emerging €1.8M −0.95

Player dossierPremier Liga

VladislavSarveli

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Lokomotiv Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
28
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sarveli at €700k. Model A, which never saw Sarveli during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 61% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.95A €1.8M▼ −0.53B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
1,810
Goals
4
Assists
6
Started
13/45
Min / app
40
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sarveli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladislav Sarveli's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 36th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 13th, European club minutes 28th36thGoals90thAssists40thMinutes9thStarts13thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.30 this player0.15 attacker median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2016
Peak
€1.8M
Jun 2022
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
26
3 club changes
May 2026€700kLokomotiv MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Lokomotiv Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-23€50kChertanovo Moscow
2016-12-02€50kChertanovo Moscow
2017-06-01€50kChertanovo Moscow
2017-11-22€100kChertanovo Moscow
2018-06-06€200kChertanovo Moscow
2018-10-15€350kChertanovo Moscow
2018-12-20€500kChertanovo Moscow
2019-06-14€900kChertanovo Moscow
2019-09-10€1MChertanovo Moscow
2019-12-23€1.2MChertanovo Moscow
2020-04-08€950kChertanovo Moscow
2020-06-29€1MChertanovo Moscow
2020-12-29€900kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-05-24€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-12-06€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-06-02€1.8MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-11-21€1.7MFC Sochi
2023-06-14€1.5MFC Sochi
2023-10-05€1.2MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-12-13€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2024-06-04€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2024-12-12€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2025-06-04€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2025-09-18€800kLokomotiv Moscow
2025-12-16€700kLokomotiv Moscow
2026-05-26€700kLokomotiv Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.954

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sarveli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).