JaniAtanasov

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club: AE Larisa
League: Super League
Nationality: North Macedonia
Age: 26
Height: 187 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Atanasov at €600k. Model A, which never saw Atanasov during training, estimates €671k: the market value is 11% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €952k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 27
Minutes: 1,923
Goals: 1
Assists: 1
Started: 21/27
Min / app: 71
Cards: 10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Atanasov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

78% this player69% midfielder median66th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €400k; Dec 2017
Peak: €1M; Dec 2021
Model target: €600k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 21; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€600kAE LarisaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2017-12-14	€400k	AP Brera
2018-05-26	€600k	AP Brera
2019-01-04	€450k	Bursaspor
2019-06-04	€200k	Bursaspor
2019-10-16	€275k	Bursaspor
2020-02-04	€275k	Bursaspor
2020-12-28	€350k	HNK Hajduk Split
2021-06-10	€550k	HNK Hajduk Split
2021-12-30	€1M	HNK Hajduk Split
2022-06-06	€700k	HNK Hajduk Split
2022-11-08	€700k	HNK Hajduk Split
2023-06-09	€700k	Cracovia
2023-10-06	€900k	Cracovia
2023-12-29	€700k	Cracovia
2024-03-28	€800k	Cracovia
2024-06-07	€800k	Cracovia
2024-09-20	€650k	Cracovia
2024-12-09	€650k	Cracovia
2025-06-06	€550k	Puszcza Niepolomice
2025-12-12	€550k	AE Larisa
2026-06-04	€600k	AE Larisa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.112

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 49% of the 356 Super League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Atanasov appears

TerminalSuper League in the Player Explorer
TerminalSuper League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).