FairValue

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Petar

Micin

AMSerbia · Zorya Lugansk

№ 343963Emerging €592k +0.01

Player dossierPremier Liha

PetarMicin

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Zorya Lugansk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Serbia
Age
27
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Micin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Micin during training, estimates €592k: the market value is 1% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.01A €592k▼ −1.68B €3.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
3,495
Goals
11
Assists
6
Started
39/49
Min / app
71
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Micin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €592k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Petar Micin's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 30th92ndGoals72ndAssists65thMinutes70thStarts34thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.28 this player0.08 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.5M
Jan 2018
Peak
€1.5M
Jan 2018
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
7 club changes
Jun 2026€600kZorya LuganskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, Zorya Lugansk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-10€1.5MFK Cukaricki
2018-07-01€1.3MUdinese Calcio
2018-12-20€1MUdinese Calcio
2019-06-06€1MUdinese Calcio
2019-10-28€800kFK Cukaricki
2020-04-08€725kFK Cukaricki
2020-06-28€600kFK Cukaricki
2020-12-29€500kUdinese Calcio
2021-06-03€350kUdinese Calcio
2021-10-12€250kSKF Sered
2021-12-26€200kSKF Sered
2022-06-23€175kSKF Sered
2022-09-12€200kFK Napredak Krusevac
2022-11-18€300kFK Napredak Krusevac
2023-06-22€250kFK Radnicki Nis
2023-12-11€300kZorya Lugansk
2024-06-06€500kZorya Lugansk
2024-12-17€700kZorya Lugansk
2025-06-10€800kZorya Lugansk
2025-12-18€700kZorya Lugansk
2026-06-02€600kZorya Lugansk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.014

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Micin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).