FairValue

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Aleksandr

Ektov

RBRussia · FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

№ 391907Emerging €594k +0.01

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandrEktov

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
30
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ektov at €600k. Model A, which never saw Ektov during training, estimates €594k: the market value is 1% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €568k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.01A €594k▲ +0.05B €568k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
2,175
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
24/28
Min / app
78
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ektov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €594k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Aleksandr Ektov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 58th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th58thGoals72ndAssists37thMinutes57thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.08 this player0.04 defender median72nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2016
Peak
€1M
Jun 2023
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
19
5 club changes
May 2026€600kFC Pari Nizhniy NovgorodValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-23€50kCSKA Moscow II
2018-09-20€150kFK Dolgoprudnyi
2018-12-20€150kFK Dolgoprudnyi
2019-06-14€175kFK Dolgoprudnyi
2019-12-23€200kShinnik Yaroslavl
2020-06-29€250kShinnik Yaroslavl
2020-10-19€300kFC Orenburg
2020-12-29€400kFC Orenburg
2021-05-24€400kFC Orenburg
2021-12-07€500kFC Orenburg
2022-05-30€550kFC Orenburg
2022-11-21€800kFC Orenburg
2023-06-14€1MFC Orenburg
2023-12-13€800kFC Krasnodar
2024-06-04€700kFC Krasnodar
2024-12-12€800kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-06-04€800kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-12-16€700kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2026-05-26€600kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.010

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ektov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).