Pierre
Lees-Melou
DMFrance · Paris FC
Player dossierLigue 1
PierreLees-Melou
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Paris FC
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Lees-Melou at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Lees-Melou during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 68% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 49
- Minutes
- 3,868
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 43/49
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lees-Melou…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player69% midfielder median83rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Sept 2015
- Peak
- €10M
- Mar 2020
- Model target
- €4.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €4.5M, Paris FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-09-06 | €150k | Dijon FCO |
| 2016-02-04 | €200k | Dijon FCO |
| 2016-07-13 | €300k | Dijon FCO |
| 2016-11-01 | €500k | Dijon FCO |
| 2017-01-16 | €1M | Dijon FCO |
| 2017-06-01 | €2.5M | Dijon FCO |
| 2018-01-24 | €5M | OGC Nice |
| 2018-06-04 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2018-12-17 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2019-06-03 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2019-12-19 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-03-13 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-04-08 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-10-15 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-01-07 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-06-04 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-12-23 | €7M | Norwich City |
| 2022-03-29 | €6M | Norwich City |
| 2022-06-15 | €5M | Norwich City |
| 2022-11-02 | €4.5M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2023-03-27 | €4M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2023-06-27 | €4M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2023-10-16 | €7M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2023-12-18 | €7M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2024-03-19 | €10M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2024-06-03 | €10M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2024-12-10 | €8M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2025-03-24 | €7M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2025-06-03 | €6M | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 2025-12-15 | €5M | Paris FC |
| 2026-06-01 | €4.5M | Paris FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.518
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 44% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 64% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lees-Melou appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BentalebDMLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€4.5M
- GuindoLBStade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1€4.5M
- EbonogCMLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€4.5M
- NnadiDMOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€4.5M
- LeminaDMGalatasaray · midfielders€4.5M
- FredCMFenerbahce · midfielders€4.5M
- PiotrowskiCMUdinese Calcio · midfielders€4.5M
- Al-MusratiDMHellas Verona · midfielders€4.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).