FairValue

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Tochukwu

Nnadi

DMNigeria · Olympique Marseille

№ 920470Established €9.4M −0.73

Player dossierLigue 1

TochukwuNnadi

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Olympique Marseille
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
22
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nnadi at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Nnadi during training, estimates €9.4M: the market value is 52% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.73A €9.4M▲ +0.36B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
1,771
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
21/26
Min / app
68
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nnadi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4.5MModel A €9.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Tochukwu Nnadi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 57th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals53rdAssists31stMinutes71stStarts57thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

81% this player69% midfielder median71st percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€10k
Dec 2021
Peak
€4.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€4.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
3 club changes
Jun 2026€4.5MOlympique MarseilleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4.5M, Olympique Marseille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-08€10kBotev Plovdiv II
2022-05-31€50kBotev Plovdiv
2022-09-07€100kBotev Plovdiv
2022-11-28€100kBotev Plovdiv
2023-03-03€200kBotev Plovdiv
2023-06-05€700kBotev Plovdiv
2023-12-20€900kBotev Plovdiv
2024-06-20€900kZulte Waregem
2024-10-15€600kZulte Waregem
2024-12-20€500kZulte Waregem
2025-04-24€400kZulte Waregem
2025-10-01€800kZulte Waregem
2025-12-10€2MZulte Waregem
2026-03-27€3MOlympique Marseille
2026-06-01€4.5MOlympique Marseille

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.734

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 44% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 64% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nnadi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).