FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Denys

Galenkov

LMUkraine · SC Poltava

№ 376227Emerging €207k +0.37

Player dossierPremier Liha

DenysGalenkov

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
SC Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Galenkov at €300k. Model A, which never saw Galenkov during training, estimates €207k: the market value is 45% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €683k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €207k▼ −0.82B €683k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
2,088
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
23/28
Min / app
75
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Galenkov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €207k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Denys Galenkov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 30th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 30th30thGoals64thAssists39thMinutes74thStarts67thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

82% this player69% midfielder median74th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2015
Peak
€300k
Dec 2025
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
7 club changes
Jun 2026€300kSC PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, SC Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-12-17€100kOlimpik Donetsk II ( - 2021)
2017-02-09€50kDesna Chernigiv
2018-01-04€25kDesna Chernigiv
2018-05-27€50kPFC Sumy
2018-08-06€100kDesna Chernigiv
2020-10-05€75kPolissya Zhytomyr
2020-12-05€100kPolissya Zhytomyr
2021-06-17€75kPolissya Zhytomyr
2021-12-06€75kKarpaty Lviv
2022-08-31€75kKarpaty Lviv
2022-12-06€125kKarpaty Lviv
2023-06-21€125kKarpaty Lviv
2023-12-11€175kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2024-06-06€200kAgrobiznes Volochysk
2024-12-17€200kSC Poltava
2025-06-10€250kSC Poltava
2025-12-18€300kSC Poltava
2026-06-02€300kSC Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.370

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 27% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Galenkov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).