JoelAsoro

RWRight WingerAttack

Club: FC Metz
League: Ligue 1
Nationality: Sweden
Age: 26
Height: 176 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 15 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Asoro at €900k. Model A, which never saw Asoro during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €471k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 14
Minutes: 502
Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Started: 6/14
Min / app: 36
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Asoro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% attacker median28th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €1.5M; Feb 2018
Peak: €2.5M; Sept 2018
Model target: €900k; Dec 2025
Valuations: 19; 5 club changes

Dec 2025€900kFC MetzValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €900k, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2018-02-27	€1.5M	Sunderland AFC
2018-09-24	€2.5M	Swansea City
2019-06-28	€2M	Swansea City
2019-12-18	€1.5M	FC Groningen
2020-04-08	€1.3M	FC Groningen
2020-10-29	€1M	Genoa CFC
2020-12-29	€600k	Genoa CFC
2021-06-09	€450k	Djurgårdens IF
2021-09-17	€600k	Djurgårdens IF
2021-12-17	€600k	Djurgårdens IF
2022-06-24	€700k	Djurgårdens IF
2022-09-02	€1.5M	Djurgårdens IF
2022-12-14	€2M	Djurgårdens IF
2023-06-27	€1.5M	Djurgårdens IF
2023-12-18	€1.5M	FC Metz
2024-06-03	€1.5M	FC Metz
2024-12-04	€1.2M	FC Metz
2025-06-02	€1M	FC Metz
2025-12-15	€900k	FC Metz

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.287

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 8% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

See them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Asoro appears

TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).