FairValue

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Amine

Harit

LWMorocco · Basaksehir FK

№ 372711Established €2.9M +0.55

Player dossierSüper Lig

AmineHarit

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Basaksehir FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Morocco
Age
28
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Harit at €5M. Model A, which never saw Harit during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 73% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.73. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.55A €2.9M▲ +0.13B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
2,088
Goals
4
Assists
9
Started
28/37
Min / app
56
Cards
4Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Harit…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Amine Harit's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 29th, Assists per 90 97th, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 77th, Minutes, last 365 days 60th, European club minutes 28th29thGoals97thAssists47thMinutes77thStarts60thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.39 this player0.15 attacker median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Aug 2016
Peak
€30M
Dec 2019
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
31
3 club changes
May 2026€5MBasaksehir FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-08€400kFC Nantes
2016-11-01€1.8MFC Nantes
2017-01-16€2MFC Nantes
2017-06-01€2MFC Nantes
2017-10-18€8MFC Schalke 04
2017-12-28€15MFC Schalke 04
2018-04-04€25MFC Schalke 04
2018-06-05€25MFC Schalke 04
2018-12-18€22MFC Schalke 04
2019-03-06€15MFC Schalke 04
2019-06-05€10MFC Schalke 04
2019-10-02€16MFC Schalke 04
2019-12-17€30MFC Schalke 04
2020-04-08€24MFC Schalke 04
2020-09-16€20MFC Schalke 04
2020-11-26€16MFC Schalke 04
2021-02-10€12MFC Schalke 04
2021-06-09€10MFC Schalke 04
2021-12-16€9MOlympique Marseille
2022-05-30€10MOlympique Marseille
2022-11-02€14MOlympique Marseille
2023-06-27€12MOlympique Marseille
2023-12-18€15MOlympique Marseille
2024-06-03€15MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€15MOlympique Marseille
2025-03-24€10MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-03€8MOlympique Marseille
2025-10-01€7MBasaksehir FK
2025-12-17€6MBasaksehir FK
2026-03-05€5MBasaksehir FK
2026-05-21€5MBasaksehir FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.546

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 81% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Harit appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).