Vanja
Drkusic
CBSlovenia · Zenit St. Petersburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
VanjaDrkusic
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Zenit St. Petersburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Slovenia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Drkusic at €5M. Model A, which never saw Drkusic during training, estimates €6.6M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 45
- Minutes
- 2,860
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 31/45
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Drkusic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
6% this player0% defender median68th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Jul 2020
- Peak
- €5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €5M, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-30 | €200k | NK Bravo |
| 2021-01-06 | €300k | NK Bravo |
| 2021-06-08 | €300k | NK Bravo |
| 2021-12-15 | €300k | NK Bravo |
| 2022-06-02 | €1M | FC Sochi |
| 2022-11-21 | €2M | FC Sochi |
| 2023-04-13 | €3M | FC Sochi |
| 2023-06-14 | €3M | FC Sochi |
| 2023-12-13 | €3M | FC Sochi |
| 2024-06-04 | €2.8M | FC Sochi |
| 2024-07-18 | €3.5M | FC Sochi |
| 2024-09-19 | €4M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2024-12-27 | €4M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2025-06-04 | €4M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €4M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2026-05-26 | €5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.274
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 86% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Drkusic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KrugovoyLMCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€5M
- PinaDMFC Krasnodar · Premier Liga€5M
- WoohCBSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€5M
- RozhkovLBRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€5M
- OrbánCBRB Leipzig · defenders€5M
- GinterCBSC Freiburg · defenders€5M
- GuerreiroLBBayern Munich · defenders€5M
- TarkowskiCBEverton FC · defenders€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).