FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Guilherme

Schettine

CFBrazil · Moreirense FC

№ 371245Emerging €1.8M −0.17

Player dossierLiga Portugal

GuilhermeSchettine

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Moreirense FC
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Brazil
Age
30
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Schettine at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Schettine during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €1.8M▼ −0.57B €2.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
2,836
Goals
15
Assists
5
Started
34/52
Min / app
55
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schettine…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Guilherme Schettine's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 85th, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 61st, Minutes, last 365 days 71st, European club minutes 28th85thGoals54thAssists64thMinutes61stStarts71stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.48 this player0.26 attacker median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Jun 2017
Peak
€1.5M
Aug 2020
Model target
€1.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
22
9 club changes
Dec 2025€1.5MMoreirense FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €1.5M, Moreirense FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-30€175kClube Atlético Paranaense B
2017-09-08€100kCD Santa Clara
2018-02-15€125kAl-Batin FC
2018-06-01€325kAl-Batin FC
2019-03-18€400kCD Santa Clara
2019-06-07€700kCD Santa Clara
2019-10-11€1MCD Santa Clara
2019-12-30€1MCD Santa Clara
2020-04-08€800kCD Santa Clara
2020-08-17€1.5MSC Braga
2021-01-28€1.5MSC Braga
2021-06-24€1MUD Almería
2021-12-27€1MFC Vizela
2022-05-31€900kFC Vizela
2022-11-10€900kGrasshopper Club Zurich
2023-06-07€900kGrasshopper Club Zurich
2023-12-13€800kUral Yekaterinburg
2024-06-04€700kUral Yekaterinburg
2024-12-19€700kMoreirense FC
2025-05-30€900kMoreirense FC
2025-09-30€1.5MMoreirense FC
2025-12-18€1.5MMoreirense FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 53% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schettine appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).