Pablo
Rosario
DMDominican Republic · FC Porto
Player dossierLiga Portugal
PabloRosario
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Porto
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Dominican Republic
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Rosario at €8M. Model A, which never saw Rosario during training, estimates €15.5M: the market value is 49% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.94. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €10.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 70
- Minutes
- 4,699
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 50/70
- Min / app
- 67
- Cards
- 16Y 2R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rosario…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% midfielder median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €13M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €8M, FC Porto. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-01 | €25k | Almere City FC |
| 2016-02-05 | €100k | Almere City FC |
| 2016-07-15 | €200k | Almere City FC |
| 2017-02-02 | €300k | PSV Eindhoven U21 |
| 2017-06-07 | €400k | PSV Eindhoven U21 |
| 2018-01-17 | €800k | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2018-06-12 | €1M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2018-10-04 | €5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2018-12-28 | €10M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2019-06-12 | €13M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2019-12-18 | €11M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-03-12 | €9M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-04-08 | €7M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-10-14 | €7M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2021-03-09 | €6.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2021-05-19 | €6M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2021-12-16 | €6M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-03-23 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-05-30 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-09-19 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-11-02 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2023-06-27 | €6M | OGC Nice |
| 2023-12-18 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-06-03 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-12-10 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-06-03 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-12-18 | €8M | FC Porto |
| 2026-05-28 | €8M | FC Porto |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.664
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 84% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rosario appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FofanaCMFC Porto · Liga Portugal€8M
- MoritaCMSporting CP · Liga Portugal€8M
- MoffiCFFC Porto · Liga Portugal€8M
- VagiannidisRBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€8M
- BruyneAMSSC Napoli · midfielders€8M
- XhakaDMSunderland AFC · midfielders€8M
- ChristieCMAFC Bournemouth · midfielders€8M
- KarazorDMVfB Stuttgart · midfielders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).