Rodrigo
Abascal
CBUruguay · Vitória Guimarães SC
Player dossierLiga Portugal
RodrigoAbascal
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Vitória Guimarães SC
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Uruguay
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Abascal at €400k. Model A, which never saw Abascal during training, estimates €645k: the market value is 38% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.61. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 59
- Minutes
- 5,142
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 58/59
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 17Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Abascal…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
98% this player83% defender median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Aug 2015
- Peak
- €800k
- May 2022
- Model target
- €400k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €400k, Vitória Guimarães SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-14 | €200k | CA Fénix |
| 2016-02-25 | €150k | CA Fénix |
| 2016-09-09 | €175k | CA Fénix |
| 2017-02-22 | €250k | CA Fénix |
| 2018-02-05 | €300k | CA Fénix |
| 2019-03-03 | €300k | CA Fénix |
| 2020-01-06 | €500k | CA Peñarol |
| 2020-04-08 | €400k | CA Peñarol |
| 2021-01-02 | €400k | CA Peñarol |
| 2021-04-10 | €300k | CA Peñarol |
| 2021-12-27 | €500k | Boavista FC |
| 2022-05-31 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2022-11-01 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2023-06-16 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2023-12-27 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2024-06-06 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2024-12-19 | €800k | Boavista FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €700k | Boavista FC |
| 2025-12-18 | €600k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
| 2026-05-28 | €400k | Vitória Guimarães SC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.478
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 12% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Abascal appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BrabecCBRio Ave FC · Liga Portugal€400k
- OliveiraCBSC Braga · Liga Portugal€400k
- GualCFRio Ave FC · Liga Portugal€400k
- NóbregaCBVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal€400k
- YoungRBIpswich Town · defenders€400k
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · defenders€400k
- VogtCBVfL Bochum · defenders€400k
- SavicCBTrabzonspor · defenders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).