FairValue

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Abdurrahim

Dursun

LBTürkiye · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 366194Emerging €377k −0.41

Player dossierSüper Lig

AbdurrahimDursun

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dursun at €250k. Model A, which never saw Dursun during training, estimates €377k: the market value is 34% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.51. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €555k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.41A €377k▼ −0.80B €555k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
1,156
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
11/34
Min / app
34
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dursun…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €377k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Abdurrahim Dursun's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 15th, Starts 1st, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals70thAssists15thMinutes1stStarts20thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.08 this player0.04 defender median70th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2017
Peak
€500k
Jan 2020
Model target
€250k
May 2026
Valuations
26
8 club changes
May 2026€250kGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €250k, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-03-30€50kTrabzonspor
2017-06-09€50kTrabzonspor
2018-02-12€50kTrabzonspor
2018-05-29€50kTrabzonspor
2018-10-15€100kKirklarelispor
2019-01-04€100kTrabzonspor
2020-01-03€500kTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€450kTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€350kTrabzonspor
2020-12-30€350kBandirmaspor
2021-06-02€350kBandirmaspor
2022-01-17€350kBoluspor
2022-06-10€375kBoluspor
2022-10-27€375kAdana Demirspor
2023-03-14€375kAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€350kAdana Demirspor
2023-09-27€325kAdana Demirspor
2023-12-21€300kAdana Demirspor
2024-03-15€250kMKE Ankaragücü
2024-05-31€200kMKE Ankaragücü
2024-10-04€250kAntalyaspor
2024-12-23€250kAntalyaspor
2025-03-20€250kAntalyaspor
2025-06-18€250kAntalyaspor
2025-12-17€250kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€250kGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.411

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 10% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dursun appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).