FairValue

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Vyacheslav

Grulev

LWRussia · FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

№ 365261Emerging €804k −0.01

Player dossierPremier Liga

VyacheslavGrulev

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
27
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Grulev at €800k. Model A, which never saw Grulev during training, estimates €804k: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €840k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €804k▼ −0.05B €840k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
1,930
Goals
8
Assists
0
Started
21/47
Min / app
41
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Grulev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €804k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vyacheslav Grulev's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 27th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 28th72ndGoals6thAssists43rdMinutes27thStarts43rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.37 this player0.26 attacker median72nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Aug 2015
Peak
€3.5M
Dec 2021
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
May 2026€800kFC Pari Nizhniy NovgorodValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-25€150kAkademia Dynamo Moscow U17
2016-12-02€275kDynamo 2 Moscow
2017-06-01€300kDynamo 2 Moscow
2018-06-06€375kDynamo Moscow II
2018-12-20€450kDynamo Moscow II
2019-04-24€700kDinamo Moscow
2019-06-14€700kDinamo Moscow
2019-12-23€700kDinamo Moscow
2020-04-08€625kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2020-07-29€750kDynamo Moscow
2020-12-29€900kDynamo Moscow
2021-04-13€1.8MDynamo Moscow
2021-06-02€2.5MDynamo Moscow
2021-12-29€3.5MDynamo Moscow
2022-06-02€3.5MDynamo Moscow
2022-11-21€3.5MDynamo Moscow
2023-06-14€2.5MDynamo Moscow
2023-12-13€2MDynamo Moscow
2024-06-04€1.5MDynamo Moscow
2024-12-12€1.2MDynamo Moscow
2025-06-04€1.2MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-12-16€1MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2026-05-26€800kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.005

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 25% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Grulev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).