FairValue

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Sergiño

Dest

RBUnited States · PSV Eindhoven

№ 361104Elite €10.7M +0.52

Player dossierEredivisie

SergiñoDest

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
United States
Age
25
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dest at €18M. Model A, which never saw Dest during training, estimates €10.7M: the market value is 68% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.52A €10.7M▲ +0.97B €6.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
3,379
Goals
2
Assists
9
Started
40/45
Min / app
75
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dest…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €10.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Sergiño Dest's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 97th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 89th, European club minutes 76th66thGoals97thAssists60thMinutes66thStarts89thRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.04 defender median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jan 2019
Peak
€30M
Jun 2021
Model target
€18M
May 2026
Valuations
24
4 club changes
May 2026€18MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €18M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-21€150kAjax Amsterdam U21
2019-07-03€600kAjax Amsterdam U21
2019-09-19€5.5MAjax Amsterdam
2019-12-18€12MAjax Amsterdam
2020-03-12€20MAjax Amsterdam
2020-04-08€18MAjax Amsterdam
2020-10-08€20MFC Barcelona
2021-01-05€25MFC Barcelona
2021-06-10€30MFC Barcelona
2021-12-30€18MFC Barcelona
2022-06-03€18MFC Barcelona
2022-11-11€16MAC Milan
2023-03-21€12MAC Milan
2023-06-15€10MAC Milan
2023-10-17€13MPSV Eindhoven
2023-12-15€18MPSV Eindhoven
2024-03-18€22MPSV Eindhoven
2024-05-31€22MPSV Eindhoven
2024-12-17€22MPSV Eindhoven
2025-03-28€18MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€16MPSV Eindhoven
2025-10-02€18MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€18MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€18MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.520

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 96% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dest appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).