FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mingiyan

Beveev

RBRussia · Baltika Kaliningrad

№ 360451Emerging €1.3M +0.35

Player dossierPremier Liga

MingiyanBeveev

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Baltika Kaliningrad
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
30
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Beveev at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Beveev during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 42% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €790k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €1.3M▲ +0.82B €790k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,513
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
28/33
Min / app
76
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Beveev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Mingiyan Beveev's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 76th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 55th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 30th76thGoals79thAssists44thMinutes55thStarts76thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.11 this player0.04 defender median79th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2015
Peak
€1.8M
May 2026
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
24
6 club changes
May 2026€1.8MBaltika KaliningradValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, Baltika Kaliningrad. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-06-11€50kVolgar Astrakhan
2016-07-01€50kVolgar Astrakhan
2016-12-27€50kVolgar Astrakhan
2017-12-12€100kNosta Novotroitsk
2018-06-06€100kUral 2 Ekaterinburg
2018-09-20€150kUral 2 Ekaterinburg
2018-12-20€150kUral 2 Ekaterinburg
2019-06-14€150kUral 2 Ekaterinburg
2019-12-23€175kUral 2 Ekaterinburg
2020-06-29€175kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2020-12-29€200kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2021-06-28€250kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2021-12-07€300kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2022-05-30€400kEnisey Krasnoyarsk
2022-11-21€700kUral Yekaterinburg
2023-04-13€1MUral Yekaterinburg
2023-06-14€1MUral Yekaterinburg
2023-12-13€800kUral Yekaterinburg
2024-06-04€600kUral Yekaterinburg
2024-12-04€600kUral Yekaterinburg
2025-06-02€700kUral Yekaterinburg
2025-09-18€900kBaltika Kaliningrad
2025-12-16€1.5MBaltika Kaliningrad
2026-05-26€1.8MBaltika Kaliningrad

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.350

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 48% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Beveev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).