FairValue

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Shawn

Adewoye

CBBelgium · Fortuna Sittard

№ 358021Emerging €1.2M −0.29

Player dossierEredivisie

ShawnAdewoye

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Fortuna Sittard
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Belgium
Age
25
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Adewoye at €900k. Model A, which never saw Adewoye during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.29A €1.2M▼ −0.95B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
3,992
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
47/55
Min / app
73
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Adewoye…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Shawn Adewoye's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 42nd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 69th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 30th42ndGoals17thAssists69thMinutes56thStarts68thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,992 this player2,860 defender median69th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2019
Peak
€1.6M
Dec 2024
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
18
2 club changes
May 2026€900kFortuna SittardValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-24€150kKRC Genk
2019-12-13€150kKRC Genk
2020-08-06€250kKRC Genk
2020-10-16€250kKRC Genk
2021-05-19€250kRKC Waalwijk
2022-01-05€250kRKC Waalwijk
2022-06-08€450kRKC Waalwijk
2022-09-14€650kRKC Waalwijk
2022-11-11€700kRKC Waalwijk
2023-03-17€900kRKC Waalwijk
2023-06-23€900kRKC Waalwijk
2023-12-15€1MRKC Waalwijk
2024-05-31€1.3MRKC Waalwijk
2024-12-17€1.6MFortuna Sittard
2025-05-28€1.3MFortuna Sittard
2025-12-02€1.3MFortuna Sittard
2026-03-11€900kFortuna Sittard
2026-05-28€900kFortuna Sittard

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.291

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Adewoye appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).