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Arnaut

Danjuma

LWNetherlands · Valencia CF

№ 355861Established €4.3M −0.35

Player dossierLaLiga

ArnautDanjuma

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Valencia CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
29
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Danjuma at €3M. Model A, which never saw Danjuma during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.35A €4.3M▼ −0.16B €3.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
3,866
Goals
9
Assists
5
Started
43/71
Min / app
54
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Danjuma…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Arnaut Danjuma's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 38th, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 70th38thGoals38thAssists79thMinutes52ndStarts67thRecent70thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,866 this player2,242 attacker median79th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2015
Peak
€50M
Mar 2022
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
8 club changes
Jun 2026€3MValencia CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Valencia CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-12-07€25kPSV Eindhoven U19
2017-01-18€75kNEC Nijmegen
2017-06-07€150kNEC Nijmegen
2017-10-26€400kNEC Nijmegen
2018-03-01€1MNEC Nijmegen
2018-06-29€1.5MNEC Nijmegen
2018-09-11€4MClub Brugge KV
2018-12-27€10MClub Brugge KV
2019-06-10€12MClub Brugge KV
2019-12-10€12MAFC Bournemouth
2020-04-08€9.5MAFC Bournemouth
2020-10-15€10MAFC Bournemouth
2021-03-10€12MAFC Bournemouth
2021-06-30€15MAFC Bournemouth
2021-10-13€25MVillarreal CF
2021-12-30€40MVillarreal CF
2022-03-21€50MVillarreal CF
2022-06-03€50MVillarreal CF
2022-11-07€35MVillarreal CF
2023-03-16€27MTottenham Hotspur
2023-06-20€25MTottenham Hotspur
2023-10-09€20MEverton FC
2023-12-19€17MEverton FC
2024-05-27€13MEverton FC
2024-12-27€8MGirona FC
2025-03-21€5MGirona FC
2025-06-09€4MGirona FC
2025-12-12€4MValencia CF
2026-06-05€3MValencia CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.352

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 40% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Danjuma appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).