FairValue

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Dominik

Oroz

CBCroatia · Krylya Sovetov Samara

№ 353559Emerging €1.3M −0.25

Player dossierPremier Liga

DominikOroz

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Krylya Sovetov Samara
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Croatia
Age
25
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Oroz at €1M. Model A, which never saw Oroz during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €1.3M▼ −0.43B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
3,223
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
37/39
Min / app
83
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Oroz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dominik Oroz's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 57th, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 30th90thGoals17thAssists57thMinutes84thStarts58thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.11 this player0.03 defender median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2018
Peak
€1.2M
Sept 2025
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
21
4 club changes
May 2026€1MKrylya Sovetov SamaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-02€100kFC Liefering
2018-12-01€100kFC Liefering
2019-06-01€175kFC Liefering
2019-12-03€350kFC Liefering
2020-04-08€325kFC Liefering
2020-07-31€400kFC Liefering
2020-12-19€500kFC Liefering
2021-05-19€500kVitesse Arnhem
2022-01-05€500kVitesse Arnhem
2022-06-08€600kVitesse Arnhem
2022-09-20€500kSK Sturm Graz
2022-11-10€400kSK Sturm Graz
2023-03-17€600kVitesse Arnhem
2023-06-23€600kVitesse Arnhem
2023-12-15€500kVitesse Arnhem
2024-05-31€400kVitesse Arnhem
2024-12-12€600kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-06-04€800kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-09-18€1.2MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-12-16€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2026-05-26€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.253

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Oroz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).