Lucas
Perri
GKBrazil · Leeds United
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
LucasPerri
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Leeds United
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 197 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Perri at €10M. Model A, which never saw Perri during training, estimates €16.8M: the market value is 40% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 5,850
- Started
- 64/64
- Min / app
- 91
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Perri…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
5,850 this player2,790 goalkeeper median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- May 2016
- Peak
- €16M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €10M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €10M, Leeds United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-27 | €100k | São Paulo FC U20 |
| 2017-12-07 | €50k | São Paulo FC U20 |
| 2018-05-23 | €50k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2019-03-05 | €250k | Crystal Palace |
| 2019-06-13 | €250k | Crystal Palace |
| 2019-11-27 | €250k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2020-09-09 | €250k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-02-09 | €200k | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-05-28 | €1.4M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2021-12-17 | €1.2M | São Paulo Futebol Clube |
| 2022-08-05 | €1M | Clube Náutico Capibaribe |
| 2022-11-14 | €1M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2023-04-07 | €2M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2023-07-25 | €5M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2023-12-11 | €8M | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas |
| 2024-03-19 | €6M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2024-06-03 | €6M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2024-12-10 | €8M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2025-03-24 | €10M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2025-06-03 | €10M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2025-10-17 | €16M | Leeds United |
| 2025-12-09 | €16M | Leeds United |
| 2026-03-09 | €13M | Leeds United |
| 2026-06-03 | €10M | Leeds United |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.519
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 32% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 88% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Perri appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KovacicCMManchester City · Premier League€10M
- LukićCMFulham FC · Premier League€10M
- SoučekDMWest Ham United · Premier League€10M
- NmechaCFLeeds United · Premier League€10M
- OnanaGKTrabzonspor · goalkeepers€10M
- EdersonGKFenerbahce · goalkeepers€10M
- GregorioGKJuventus FC · goalkeepers€10M
- OkoyeGKUdinese Calcio · goalkeepers€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).