FairValue

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Portrait of Kalvin Phillips

Kalvin

Phillips

DMEngland · Sheffield United

№ 351749Established €1.3M +0.68

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

KalvinPhillips

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sheffield United
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
30
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Phillips at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Phillips during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 97% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €484k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €1.3M▲ +1.64B €484k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,471
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
17/23
Min / app
64
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Phillips…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Kalvin Phillips's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 39th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 24th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 30th39thGoals8thAssists24thMinutes59thStarts2ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

74% this player69% midfielder median59th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Sept 2016
Peak
€50M
Mar 2022
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
32
5 club changes
May 2026€2.5MSheffield UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Sheffield United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-01€250kLeeds United
2017-02-27€500kLeeds United
2017-09-18€1.5MLeeds United
2018-02-27€5MLeeds United
2018-09-24€5MLeeds United
2019-02-27€7MLeeds United
2019-06-28€8MLeeds United
2019-10-17€11MLeeds United
2020-02-27€15MLeeds United
2020-04-08€12MLeeds United
2020-10-13€22MLeeds United
2020-12-17€27MLeeds United
2021-03-18€27MLeeds United
2021-05-28€30MLeeds United
2021-07-15€40MLeeds United
2021-12-23€40MLeeds United
2022-03-29€50MLeeds United
2022-06-15€50MLeeds United
2022-11-03€45MManchester City
2023-03-16€35MManchester City
2023-06-20€32MManchester City
2023-10-09€28MManchester City
2023-12-19€28MManchester City
2024-05-27€25MWest Ham United
2024-10-01€22MIpswich Town
2024-12-16€20MIpswich Town
2025-03-18€15MIpswich Town
2025-05-30€12MIpswich Town
2025-10-17€10MManchester City
2025-12-09€6MManchester City
2026-03-03€5MSheffield United
2026-05-28€2.5MSheffield United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.677

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 11% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Phillips appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).