FairValue

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Portrait of Ché Adams

Ché

Adams

CFScotland · Torino FC

№ 346779Established €7.3M −0.37

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

ChéAdams

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Scotland
Age
29
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Adams at €5M. Model A, which never saw Adams during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €7.3M▼ −0.12B €5.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
4,883
Goals
18
Assists
7
Started
53/74
Min / app
66
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Adams…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €7.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Ché Adams's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 28th63rdGoals43rdAssists90thMinutes71stStarts77thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,883 this player2,242 attacker median90th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2015
Peak
€22M
Sept 2022
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
31
3 club changes
May 2026€5MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-02-27€50kSheffield United
2015-10-16€250kSheffield United
2016-05-30€350kSheffield United
2016-09-01€1.5MBirmingham City
2017-02-27€2MBirmingham City
2017-09-18€2.5MBirmingham City
2018-02-27€2.5MBirmingham City
2018-09-24€2.5MBirmingham City
2019-02-27€7MBirmingham City
2019-06-28€7MBirmingham City
2019-09-12€12MSouthampton FC
2019-12-10€12MSouthampton FC
2020-04-08€9.5MSouthampton FC
2020-07-30€12MSouthampton FC
2020-10-13€12MSouthampton FC
2020-12-17€15MSouthampton FC
2021-03-18€18MSouthampton FC
2021-05-28€20MSouthampton FC
2021-12-23€20MSouthampton FC
2022-06-15€18MSouthampton FC
2022-09-15€22MSouthampton FC
2022-11-03€22MSouthampton FC
2023-06-20€20MSouthampton FC
2023-10-27€18MSouthampton FC
2023-12-21€15MSouthampton FC
2024-05-24€15MSouthampton FC
2024-12-18€15MTorino FC
2025-06-17€15MTorino FC
2025-10-07€10MTorino FC
2025-12-23€8.5MTorino FC
2026-05-29€5MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.374

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 45% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Adams appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).