FairValue

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Tom

Dele-Bashiru

DMNigeria · Genclerbirligi Ankara

№ 346472Emerging €1.2M +0.39

Player dossierSüper Lig

TomDele-Bashiru

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Genclerbirligi Ankara
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
26
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dele-Bashiru at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Dele-Bashiru during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.39A €1.2M▲ +0.42B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
29
Minutes
2,407
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
27/29
Min / app
83
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dele-Bashiru…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Tom Dele-Bashiru's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 23rd, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 91st, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals23rdAssists46thMinutes91stStarts77thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player69% midfielder median91st percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
May 2019
Peak
€2.5M
May 2022
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
17
4 club changes
May 2026€1.8MGenclerbirligi AnkaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, Genclerbirligi Ankara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-05-23€150kManchester City U23
2019-12-10€500kWatford FC
2020-04-08€450kWatford FC
2020-10-15€900kWatford FC
2021-03-10€900kWatford FC
2021-06-30€700kWatford FC
2021-11-24€1MReading FC
2022-05-13€2.5MReading FC
2022-09-14€2MWatford FC
2022-10-27€2MWatford FC
2023-06-01€1.5MWatford FC
2023-12-21€1.2MWatford FC
2024-05-24€1.2MWatford FC
2024-12-30€1.2MWatford FC
2025-05-27€1.5MWatford FC
2025-12-17€1.8MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2026-05-21€1.8MGenclerbirligi Ankara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.389

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 60% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dele-Bashiru appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).