FairValue

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Bakhtiyor

Zaynutdinov

LBKazakhstan · Dynamo Moscow

№ 344299Established €874k +1.05

Player dossierPremier Liga

BakhtiyorZaynutdinov

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Dynamo Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Kazakhstan
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zaynutdinov at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Zaynutdinov during training, estimates €874k: the market value is 186% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.86. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €833k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.05A €874k▲ +1.10B €833k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
994
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
11/21
Min / app
47
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zaynutdinov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €874k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 13th, European club minutes 73rd18thGoals75thAssists12thMinutes9thStarts13thRecent73rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.09 this player0.04 defender median75th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Dec 2017
Peak
€6.5M
Sept 2023
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
24
5 club changes
May 2026€2.5MDynamo MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Dynamo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-04€500kFC Taraz
2018-07-01€750kFC Astana
2018-12-28€1.2MFC Astana
2019-06-14€1.2MFC Rostov
2019-12-23€1.7MFC Rostov
2020-04-08€1.5MFC Rostov
2020-07-29€2MFC Rostov
2020-12-29€3.5MCSKA Moscow
2021-06-02€3.5MCSKA Moscow
2021-12-29€4MCSKA Moscow
2022-06-02€3.5MCSKA Moscow
2022-11-21€5MCSKA Moscow
2023-06-14€6MCSKA Moscow
2023-09-27€6.5MBesiktas JK
2023-12-21€6MBesiktas JK
2024-03-15€6MBesiktas JK
2024-05-31€5MBesiktas JK
2024-10-04€4MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€3.7MBesiktas JK
2025-03-20€3.3MBesiktas JK
2025-06-18€3MBesiktas JK
2025-09-18€2.8MDynamo Moscow
2025-12-16€2.5MDynamo Moscow
2026-05-26€2.5MDynamo Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.051

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 70% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zaynutdinov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).