
Axel
Tuanzebe
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
AxelTuanzebe
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Burnley FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- DR Congo
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Tuanzebe at €5M. Model A, which never saw Tuanzebe during training, estimates €10.6M: the market value is 53% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 3,100
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 36/39
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tuanzebe…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player83% defender median77th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Jun 2017
- Peak
- €10M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €5M, Burnley FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-06-28 | €1M | Manchester United |
| 2018-02-27 | €1M | Aston Villa |
| 2018-09-24 | €1.5M | Aston Villa |
| 2019-02-27 | €5M | Aston Villa |
| 2019-06-13 | €7M | Manchester United |
| 2019-12-10 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2020-04-08 | €8M | Manchester United |
| 2020-10-13 | €8M | Manchester United |
| 2021-03-18 | €8M | Manchester United |
| 2021-06-08 | €8M | Manchester United |
| 2021-12-23 | €8M | Aston Villa |
| 2022-06-07 | €7M | SSC Napoli |
| 2022-11-03 | €6M | Manchester United |
| 2023-06-01 | €4.5M | Manchester United |
| 2023-10-27 | €3.5M | Ipswich Town |
| 2023-12-21 | €2.5M | Ipswich Town |
| 2024-03-07 | €2.2M | Ipswich Town |
| 2024-05-24 | €2.2M | Ipswich Town |
| 2024-10-01 | €3M | Ipswich Town |
| 2024-12-16 | €5M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-05-30 | €5M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-12-09 | €5M | Burnley FC |
| 2026-06-03 | €5M | Burnley FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.748
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 21% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Tuanzebe appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WoodCFNottingham Forest · Premier League€5M
- NørgaardDMArsenal FC · Premier League€5M
- TarkowskiCBEverton FC · Premier League€5M
- Ward-ProwseCMBurnley FC · Premier League€5M
- OrbánCBRB Leipzig · defenders€5M
- GinterCBSC Freiburg · defenders€5M
- GuerreiroLBBayern Munich · defenders€5M
- LindelöfCBAston Villa · defenders€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





