Yannik
Keitel
DMGermany · FC Augsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
YannikKeitel
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Augsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Keitel at €2M. Model A, which never saw Keitel during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 24
- Minutes
- 773
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/24
- Min / app
- 32
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Keitel…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
19% this player0% midfielder median82nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2018
- Peak
- €5M
- May 2024
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €2M, FC Augsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-08-06 | €50k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2019-02-11 | €25k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2019-08-12 | €75k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2020-02-06 | €75k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2020-03-11 | €500k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2020-04-08 | €450k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2020-07-08 | €600k | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-02-10 | €700k | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-06-09 | €2M | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-10-07 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2021-12-22 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2022-06-09 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2022-11-09 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2023-06-22 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2023-12-14 | €4M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €5M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-12-20 | €3.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2025-06-05 | €3.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2025-10-14 | €2.5M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2025-12-19 | €2M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2026-05-27 | €2M | FC Augsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.062
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Keitel appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€2M
- RönnowGK1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€2M
- KhediraDM1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).