FairValue

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Cengiz

Ünder

RWTürkiye · Besiktas JK

№ 341647Established €3.7M +0.08

Player dossierSüper Lig

CengizÜnder

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
28
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ünder at €4M. Model A, which never saw Ünder during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.08A €3.7M▲ +0.24B €3.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
1,307
Goals
5
Assists
3
Started
15/34
Min / app
38
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ünder…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €3.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Cengiz Ünder's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 68th66thGoals72ndAssists27thMinutes26thStarts45thRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.15 attacker median72nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2014
Peak
€35M
Dec 2018
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
35
8 club changes
May 2026€4MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-22€50kAltinordu FK U21
2015-01-05€350kAltinordu FK
2015-06-08€1.2MAltinordu FK
2016-01-04€1.5MAltinordu FK
2016-07-15€2MBasaksehir FK
2017-01-10€3.8MBasaksehir FK
2017-06-09€5MBasaksehir FK
2017-10-13€7.5MAS Roma
2017-12-29€10MAS Roma
2018-03-24€20MAS Roma
2018-06-07€27MAS Roma
2018-12-20€35MAS Roma
2019-06-06€35MAS Roma
2019-12-12€35MAS Roma
2020-03-03€30MAS Roma
2020-04-08€24MAS Roma
2020-08-25€23MAS Roma
2020-10-13€23MLeicester City
2021-03-18€20MLeicester City
2021-05-25€18MLeicester City
2021-12-16€18MOlympique Marseille
2022-05-30€22MOlympique Marseille
2022-11-02€17MOlympique Marseille
2023-06-27€20MOlympique Marseille
2023-09-27€20MFenerbahce
2023-12-21€16MFenerbahce
2024-03-15€16MFenerbahce
2024-05-31€14MFenerbahce
2024-10-04€10MFenerbahce
2024-12-23€7.5MFenerbahce
2025-06-05€7.5MLos Angeles FC
2025-10-01€7MBesiktas JK
2025-12-17€7MBesiktas JK
2026-03-05€6MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€4MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.082

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 77% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ünder appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).