Franco
Cervi
LWArgentina · Celta de Vigo
Player dossierLaLiga
FrancoCervi
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Celta de Vigo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Argentina
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 166 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Cervi at €600k. Model A, which never saw Cervi during training, estimates €713k: the market value is 16% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €483k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 14
- Minutes
- 707
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 8/14
- Min / app
- 51
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cervi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
2% this player0% attacker median59th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Jan 2015
- Peak
- €18M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €600k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €600k, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-01-11 | €125k | CA Rosario Central |
| 2015-04-07 | €500k | CA Rosario Central |
| 2015-07-14 | €5M | CA Rosario Central |
| 2016-02-06 | €5.5M | CA Rosario Central |
| 2016-07-29 | €5.5M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-02-22 | €7M | SL Benfica |
| 2017-06-26 | €8M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-02-07 | €13M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-04-16 | €16M | SL Benfica |
| 2018-06-13 | €18M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-01-11 | €16M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-06-07 | €12M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-10-11 | €10M | SL Benfica |
| 2019-12-30 | €10M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-04-08 | €8M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-08-17 | €8M | SL Benfica |
| 2020-10-22 | €7M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-01-28 | €5M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-05-21 | €5M | SL Benfica |
| 2021-12-30 | €4M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2022-06-03 | €5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2022-11-07 | €3M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2023-06-13 | €3M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2023-10-13 | €2.5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2023-12-22 | €2M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-03-21 | €1.8M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-06-07 | €1.5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-10-11 | €1M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2024-12-27 | €900k | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-06-09 | €800k | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-12-12 | €700k | Celta de Vigo |
| 2026-06-05 | €600k | Celta de Vigo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.172
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cervi appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LópezCBGirona FC · LaLiga€600k
- PeñaRBCD Leganés · LaLiga€600k
- AhijadoRBReal Oviedo · LaLiga€600k
- OrtizCMCórdoba CF · LaLiga€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).