Cameron
Carter-Vickers
CBUnited States · Celtic FC
Player dossierPremiership
CameronCarter-Vickers
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Celtic FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- United States
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Carter-Vickers at €9M. Model A, which never saw Carter-Vickers during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 179% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 51
- Minutes
- 4,545
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 50/51
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Carter-Vickers…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
98% this player83% defender median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Nov 2016
- Peak
- €14M
- May 2024
- Model target
- €9M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 11 club changes
May 2026: €9M, Celtic FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-25 | €500k | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2017-02-20 | €500k | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2017-06-28 | €500k | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2018-02-27 | €1M | Ipswich Town |
| 2018-09-24 | €1.5M | Swansea City |
| 2019-06-13 | €1.5M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2019-10-16 | €2.5M | Stoke City |
| 2020-02-27 | €2.5M | Luton Town |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | Luton Town |
| 2020-10-13 | €2M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-03-10 | €2M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2021-06-08 | €2M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-12-31 | €3M | Celtic FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €7M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2022-11-14 | €9.5M | Celtic FC |
| 2023-03-22 | €11M | Celtic FC |
| 2023-06-26 | €13M | Celtic FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €13M | Celtic FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €14M | Celtic FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €14M | Celtic FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €14M | Celtic FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €13M | Celtic FC |
| 2026-03-05 | €10M | Celtic FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €9M | Celtic FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.025
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
9th highest observed value among 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 80% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Carter-Vickers appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HatateCMCeltic FC · Premiership€10M
- TierneyLBCeltic FC · Premiership€8M
- AraujoRBCeltic FC · Premiership€8M
- JohnstonRBCeltic FC · Premiership€8M
- EmersonLBOlympique Marseille · defenders€9M
- GiménezCBAtlético de Madrid · defenders€9M
- MouraLBFC Porto · defenders€9M
- KristiansenLBLeicester City · defenders€9M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).