FairValue

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Umar

Sadiq

CFNigeria · Valencia CF

№ 337715Established €5M −0.22

Player dossierLaLiga

UmarSadiq

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Valencia CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
29
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sadiq at €4M. Model A, which never saw Sadiq during training, estimates €5M: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.22A €5M▼ −0.60B €7.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
59
Minutes
2,799
Goals
13
Assists
6
Started
29/59
Min / app
47
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sadiq…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Umar Sadiq's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 68th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 64th79thGoals68thAssists63rdMinutes33rdStarts50thRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.42 this player0.26 attacker median79th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2014
Peak
€18M
Oct 2021
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
11 club changes
Jun 2026€4MValencia CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, Valencia CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-18€50kSpezia Primavera
2015-03-02€150kSpezia Primavera
2015-06-17€400kSpezia Primavera
2015-11-30€900kAS Roma
2016-04-01€2.5MAS Roma
2016-07-15€2.5MAS Roma
2017-01-02€2.5MBologna FC 1909
2017-06-08€2MBologna FC 1909
2017-12-29€1.8MTorino FC
2018-06-12€1.8MNAC Breda
2019-01-17€1.4MAC Perugia Calcio
2019-06-05€1.4MAC Perugia Calcio
2019-10-28€2.5MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-04-08€2MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-06-28€6MFK Partizan Belgrade
2020-10-08€5MUD Almería
2021-01-08€6MUD Almería
2021-03-19€8MUD Almería
2021-06-24€15MUD Almería
2021-10-13€18MUD Almería
2021-12-27€18MUD Almería
2022-06-29€18MUD Almería
2022-11-07€18MReal Sociedad
2023-06-13€18MReal Sociedad
2023-10-13€16MReal Sociedad
2023-12-22€16MReal Sociedad
2024-03-21€14MReal Sociedad
2024-06-07€10MReal Sociedad
2024-10-11€6MReal Sociedad
2024-12-27€5MReal Sociedad
2025-06-09€5MValencia CF
2025-12-12€4MReal Sociedad
2026-06-05€4MValencia CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.221

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 50% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sadiq appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).