FairValue

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Giuseppe

Pezzella

LBItaly · US Cremonese

№ 336960Established €2.5M −0.23

Player dossierSerie A

GiuseppePezzella

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
28
Height
187 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pezzella at €2M. Model A, which never saw Pezzella during training, estimates €2.5M: the market value is 20% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.23A €2.5M▼ −0.75B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,760
Goals
0
Assists
5
Started
66/71
Min / app
81
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pezzella…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Giuseppe Pezzella's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 91st, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 81st, European club minutes 30th18thGoals70thAssists91stMinutes79thStarts81stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,760 this player2,860 defender median91st percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2014
Peak
€6M
Dec 2020
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
29
8 club changes
May 2026€2MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-09-23€50kPalermo Primavera
2015-03-02€125kPalermo Primavera
2015-06-17€225kPalermo Primavera
2016-01-04€300kUS Palermo
2016-04-01€500kUS Palermo
2016-07-15€500kUS Palermo
2017-01-02€500kUS Palermo
2017-06-08€1MUS Palermo
2017-10-13€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2017-12-29€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2018-06-07€3MUdinese Calcio
2018-12-20€3MUdinese Calcio
2019-06-06€3MGenoa CFC
2019-12-12€3MParma Calcio 1913
2020-04-08€2.4MParma Calcio 1913
2020-08-25€3.5MParma Calcio 1913
2020-12-29€6MParma Calcio 1913
2021-06-03€6MParma Calcio 1913
2021-12-28€6MAtalanta BC
2022-06-07€5MAtalanta BC
2022-09-27€3.8MUS Lecce
2022-11-11€3MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€2.5MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€2.2MFC Empoli
2024-06-05€2.2MFC Empoli
2024-12-18€2.5MFC Empoli
2025-06-17€2.5MFC Empoli
2025-12-23€2.5MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€2MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.227

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 20% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pezzella appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).