Toma
Bašić
CMCroatia · SS Lazio
Player dossierSerie A
TomaBašić
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- SS Lazio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Bašić at €3M. Model A, which never saw Bašić during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 55% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 1,913
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 25/25
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bašić…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player69% midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2015
- Peak
- €10M
- Jan 2021
- Model target
- €3M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €3M, SS Lazio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-09-14 | €50k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2016-03-14 | €150k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2016-09-14 | €400k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2017-03-13 | €1M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2017-10-23 | €1M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2018-03-18 | €1.4M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2018-09-06 | €3M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2018-10-24 | €4M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2018-12-17 | €4M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2019-06-03 | €5M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2019-12-19 | €5M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2020-03-13 | €6M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2020-04-08 | €4.8M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2020-10-15 | €7M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2021-01-07 | €10M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2021-06-04 | €9M | FC Girondins Bordeaux |
| 2021-12-28 | €9M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-06-07 | €8M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-11-11 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-06-15 | €6M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-10-11 | €4.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-12-20 | €3.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-06-05 | €2.8M | US Salernitana 1919 |
| 2024-10-18 | €2M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-12-18 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-06-17 | €800k | SS Lazio |
| 2025-10-07 | €1M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-12-23 | €2.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2026-05-29 | €3M | SS Lazio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.799
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 29% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bašić appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MkhitaryanCMInter Milan · Serie A€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · Serie A€3M
- FreulerCMBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€3M
- GarciaLBUS Sassuolo · Serie A€3M
- GötzeAMEintracht Frankfurt · midfielders€3M
- AndréDMLOSC Lille · midfielders€3M
- ArnoldCMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€3M
- KondogbiaDMOlympique Marseille · midfielders€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).