FairValue

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Lucas

Boyé

CFArgentina · Deportivo Alavés

№ 334222Established €3.1M +0.47

Player dossierLaLiga

LucasBoyé

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Deportivo Alavés
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Argentina
Age
30
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Boyé at €5M. Model A, which never saw Boyé during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 59% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €3.1M▲ +0.82B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
1,998
Goals
11
Assists
1
Started
22/31
Min / app
64
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boyé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €3.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Lucas Boyé's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 14th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 28th87thGoals14thAssists45thMinutes70thStarts73rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.50 this player0.26 attacker median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Jan 2015
Peak
€15M
Mar 2022
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
9 club changes
Jun 2026€5MDeportivo AlavésValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Deportivo Alavés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-10€500kCA River Plate
2015-07-14€1.5MCA River Plate
2016-02-06€1.8MCA Newell's Old Boys
2016-07-15€2MTorino FC
2016-10-14€2.5MTorino FC
2017-01-02€2.5MTorino FC
2017-06-08€2.5MTorino FC
2017-12-29€2MTorino FC
2018-03-22€1.5MCelta de Vigo
2018-05-30€1.5MCelta de Vigo
2018-12-07€1.5MAEK Athens
2019-05-21€1.5MAEK Athens
2020-02-27€1.2MReading FC
2020-04-08€950kReading FC
2020-08-25€900kTorino FC
2020-10-08€900kElche CF
2021-01-05€1.8MElche CF
2021-03-19€3MElche CF
2021-06-10€3.5MElche CF
2021-12-30€5MElche CF
2022-03-21€15MElche CF
2022-06-03€15MElche CF
2022-09-23€12MElche CF
2022-11-07€8MElche CF
2023-03-23€6MElche CF
2023-06-13€10MElche CF
2023-12-22€7MGranada CF
2024-06-07€7MGranada CF
2024-10-14€5MGranada CF
2024-12-13€5MGranada CF
2025-03-27€3.5MGranada CF
2025-06-24€3.5MGranada CF
2025-10-02€5MDeportivo Alavés
2025-12-12€5MDeportivo Alavés
2026-06-05€5MDeportivo Alavés

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.467

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 57% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Boyé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).