FairValue

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Valeriy

Rogozynskyi

LBUkraine · FC Kudrivka

№ 332132Emerging €194k +0.25

Player dossierPremier Liha

ValeriyRogozynskyi

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Kudrivka
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rogozynskyi at €250k. Model A, which never saw Rogozynskyi during training, estimates €194k: the market value is 29% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €333k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.25A €194k▼ −0.29B €333k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
651
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
5/11
Min / app
59
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rogozynskyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €194k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Valeriy Rogozynskyi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 30th94thGoals86thAssists4thMinutes5thStarts17thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.14 this player0.03 defender median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2014
Peak
€400k
Jun 2023
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
6 club changes
Jun 2026€250kFC KudrivkaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, FC Kudrivka. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-24€100kMFC Mykolaiv
2015-09-26€75kFC Poltava
2017-02-09€75kMFC Mykolaiv
2018-01-04€125kMFC Mykolaiv
2018-05-27€150kMFC Mykolaiv
2018-12-02€150kMFC Mykolaiv
2019-06-16€150kMFC Mykolaiv
2019-12-18€125kMFC Mykolaiv
2020-10-05€125kAlyans Lypova Dolyna
2020-12-05€125kAlyans Lypova Dolyna
2021-06-17€150kAlyans Lypova Dolyna
2021-12-06€200kAlyans Lypova Dolyna
2022-05-18€200kAlyans Lypova Dolyna
2022-12-06€200kFC Minaj
2023-06-21€400kFC Minaj
2023-12-11€300kFC Minaj
2024-06-06€300kKudrivka-Nyva Buzova
2024-12-17€300kFC Kudrivka
2025-06-10€300kFC Kudrivka
2025-12-18€300kFC Kudrivka
2026-06-02€250kFC Kudrivka

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.251

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rogozynskyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).